Recent developments in my view, have made a September restart with crowds more likely. Far a start there is increasing focus on the cost of lockdown-a recent article by Liam Halligan in the Telegraph put the cost of the existing rescue commitments at £B 125. In addition to that you have the lost tax revenue such as income tax,VAT and corporation tax which is estimated at £B 120. Add those together then you have £B 245,which is a mind boggling figure.To put that figure in perspective the cost would cover 2 new NHS's and change left over. Now this alone is putting huge pressure on the Govt-and the potential lost tax from the TV companies and football as a whole ,on top of this,is enormous. I think you can forget about a lockdown extension,or a lockdown mark 2,the country cannot afford it, not to mention the psychological issues.
You also have the gradual petering out of the virus with the likely UK death toll to be in single figures by the end of June/early July.
Then you have the Cummings saga.Irrespective on your views of him,I think this latest development made the Govts policy of continued lockdown far less credible.