KDZ:
So, though Rosler took us up to the play offs, you thought "the signs were there towards the end of the previous year"? How does that work then ?
Sorry chaps, I don't mean to be overly-pernickety, its just that such glorious hindsight made up as "I always knew" never sits well with me.
MB has covered it quite well above, but to add my 2 pence in:
I thought Rosler was actually a good choice, i liked what he said he was going to bring to us, his work at Brentford was impressive and i thought the Brentford fans being happy to get shut of him and saying Wartburton was the main man behind their success and their stats based scouting system was behind the success was just sour grapes. Unfortunately they were right after a hooneymoon period.
We got an epic new manager bounce and we were getting results, we had about a 20 game run where everything was looking very posative and i thought we had found the right man. But after we beat City in the Cup it seemed everything started to go wrong. I remember actually being quite mad at the team selection and subs in the FA cup game against Arsenal - i thought it was discraceful that we had Maloney and Espinosa as unused subs but McEcheran starting and Collison coming it and James McClean was left out of the squad entirely. Then we also brought Caldwell on who hadn't played all season and was crocked instead of Barnett who earlier in the season was one of our best players. I thought if we picked the right players or even just used the right subs we'd have very possibly won that game.
Team selections became stranger, the new signings (except Waghorn) were flopping, tactics were increasingly negative, with more tinkering, he seemed to fall out with Powell and McClean on top of his beef with Holt, he was favouring the likes of Carson, Collison / McEcheran and Kiernan over Ali, Esponosa and Barnnett who were much better options at the time and overall performances became quite dour and results became poor.
The 10 games of the regular season when we were looking for one big last push and we won about 3 of our last 10 games losing 5 and performances were getting increasingly dour and negative. We were actually quite lucky we didn't fall out of the play offs in the end.
Then against QPR at home in the play offs we were horribly negative and it felt like we played for a 0-0 which was crazy knowing how hard the away leg was going to be. Then at then at their place after scoring so early it seemed like we put everyone on the goal line and prayed to keep them out for about 80 minutes and scrape a 1-0 and it felt like not only was it asking for trouble. Again the starting line up and subs were crap - Powell was completely frozen out at this point (think there was the drink driving thing around then) when we needed him most, we started with Caldwell and Kiernan at CB which was a recipe for disaster, we had McClean up front playing his first ever game up front in such an important game but our most dangerous striker Waghorn on the bench and left Fortune out of the squad when we had no one else capable of holding a ball - which would've been very useful if you are going to play so negatively. I think our approach to those 2 play off games were so cowardly and counter intuative when there was so much at stake.
The fact all his few signings seemed be be so poor also made me think 'why are we trusting this guy with so much money'.
If you'd have asked me at the time I'd have said exactly what i've said above and how could you not have concerns about that? I would've given him the benefit of the doubt and hoped he'd get us back to where we were after he first arrived, but i wasn't confident about giving him 12m to spend at all. I was all for the Rosler appointment and intitially i thought we'd got it right but by the end of the season I had lost a lot of faith based on what he'd shown us. Not enough to write him off or sack him but i thought all the signs were there that it was going to go wrong - but i never would've guessed they'd go that badly wrong. I was thinking he'd end up more like Coyle's disapointing mid table tenure rather than the relegation fodder he turned us into.
I wont dive into the Caldwell debate again - I thought the ability to outspend the opposition so heavily in a really weak league got us over the line in L1 but still he showed all the signs that tactically he'd be exposed without having that advantage in the Championship.