Recent content by Brendan Bradley

  1. Brendan Bradley

    Coronavirus

    Don't be so fucking stupid. Vulnerable people can easily isolate just as they're having to now. There is absolutely no difference in their situation. On the other hand, it's been known for weeks that thousands are going to die from not having other serious illnesses such as cancer attended to...
  2. Brendan Bradley

    Coronavirus

    The reality is that for healthy people under 50 with no underlying health issues - or not obese, the chances of dying from it are incredibly slim For age group 20-29 about 2 million/1 For age group 30-39 about 500,000/1 For age group 40-49 about 200,000/1 There's no real need for anyone in...
  3. Brendan Bradley

    Occupation names

    Phil Turner Mark Cox Andy EnGraver
  4. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    We'll know at the end of the year. This is different because it's very severe on the elderly, but for anyone under 50 with no other complaint it's a barely visible blip on the chart. All the excess deaths are in the age groups over 70. And he's not the only scientist who holds that opinion...
  5. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    a The man is Professor of Medicine, Health Research and Policy and Biomedical Data Science, and a Professor of Statistics at one of the world's top five universities.
  6. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    It's a choice, though, and you have to assess your own level of risk. I'm not willing to live long stretches of my life by government dictat and I live in Spain where the lockdown has been longer and more severe than the UK. In the meantime, here's the risk of dying by age group based on the...
  7. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    That report is by the NHS' own house journal. It refers to deaths and I was quite clear about that.
  8. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    There are differing opinions about it. For example Prof John Ioannidis of Stanford University has said the lethality of Covid19 is "in the range of seasonal flu and that for people under 65 years of age, the mortality risk even in the global hotspots is comparable to the daily car ride to work...
  9. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    Then say goodbye to your days of watching football live. The fatality rate will end up being between 0.2-0.4%. The median age of the deceased in most countries is around 80 and 9/10 of those have other conditions. You can believe or disbelieve any figures presented, but people need to make...
  10. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    I doubt there's much, if any, risk of walking the moors, jogging, or sitting on a park bench, or any other similar activities the police seem so keen to punish There is some risk of being in a stadium. But for most people the risk is low and really no greater than any other infection. I...
  11. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    The most interesting finding is that outdoor transmission is so low.
  12. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    I linked the Health Service Journal article that reported that on post #12
  13. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    I have a very close personal relationship with a doctor who works in a large northern hospital, and so by association know others too. They loathe the "hero" tag and say all their medical and nursing colleagues do as well. They also think the tik tok videos that nursing staff seem to be...
  14. Brendan Bradley

    "I'm afraid it isn't as simple as some seem to think."

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.04.20053058v1
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