Pope John XXIII
Vital Football Legend
Toms, this has been explained to you.You are right about this. No one will believe it. We will have to leave the ECHR and then have the people around the administration willing to implement the ramifications. That won’t happen
Leaving the ECHR is that magical "Jeremy Clarkson common sense" solution that isn't common sense at all, doesn't work and doesn't have any appreciation of the complexities.
You are making life harder for your own government
This is from the ONS
The provisional estimate of total long-term immigration for year ending (YE) June 2023 was 1.2 million, while emigration was 508,000, meaning that net migration was 672,000; most people arriving to the UK in the YE June 2023 were non-EU nationals (968,000), followed by EU (129,000) and British (84,000)
39% of those came to study. That is to keep our universities going.
9% (so, more or less 100,000) came through humanitarian visas- this is basically Afghans, Ukrainians or people from Hong Kong. These are govenrment choices. This came down from 19% the previous year.
33% came on work visas- the vast majority on health and care visas- to work in the NHS and in social care, which this govenrment has chosen not to tackle.
48% of the immigration was dependents; that means wives and children of people with proper visas.
You can slash immigration in half an a stroke by not allowing those.
However, you would smash it probably by 3/4 doing that because the majority of people coming on these visas simply would not come. Hooray! Toms says.
But there are severe economic consequences to this. The NHS currently cannot cope with staffing needs; not enough British people go into NHS roles. That isn't because they are lazy or don't want to; a lot can't. The grade requirements at A Level (a highly unreliable qualification now the government has consistently fiddled with it) are sky high for almost any medical role; even a nurse will usually need 3 B grades. This forces us to embrace overseas staff with HIGHLY dubious educational equivalence and often weak English language skills.
The care crisis would depend because British people really do not want to do that for the wages on offer. There are other minimum wage jobs that are far more attractive. To get British people to do it you need to pay more than poverty wages.
And for our universities, the overseas students are keeping them afloat. If you deny dependents visas then the Singaporean woman who is accepted on a masters here, and is paying in full, will have a choice between Britain, where she can't bring her child, or the Netherlands, where she can. Only one choice.
None of what we have described are "harmful" immigrants.
Then we have the reciprocal deals. For instance, the Albania deal has been fantastically successful; we struck a deal to just send them back. Young men in poor areas coming here because of tiktok advertising and ending up in carwashes and the grey economy. We send them back. But they are a member of the ECHR and it has been made clear that this underpins the deal; just like with Brexit, if you leave, then the deal that actually prevents a flood of migrants will end.
Exactly same goes for Romania
The hard right have made everyone obsessed with numbers that have no context. I don't understand why the Tories haven't simply changed the way they calculate it to take students and their dependents out for a start; that would make the figures look completely different and make it harder for the likes of Rice and Farage peddling anger to make political hay