danvilla2
I’m not an expert
All we see in the news is another retailer or restaurant chain in trouble. Even ASOS, probably the most successful online fashion retailer had a recent profit warning so I think there a signs consumer spending is slowing down and with Brexit uncertainty it wouldn’t be a surprise to see business investment grinding to a hold or in some cases large scale movement of jobs abroad. On top of that there are global trade concerns all over the place especially China / Asia. JLR are cutting 5000 jobs in the new year because of all of these issues and I’m sure other companies will follow
I actually bought quite a few shares in ASOS the other week after they crashed around the £22 mark, Ive always kicked myself for not buying shares in them before they took off after seeing an article on them and the stock seems to go through cyclical booms and busts anyway so I’m confident they’ll bounce back one day - they’ve built a sustainable profitable business online, it’s not like a bricks and mortar company trying to break online. A tech company with a PE currently of around 22 is unusual.
And yes, business investment risk is huge. It’s already being cut, along with companies looking to streamline with the Brexit excuse whether it is impacting or not (but who can blame the execs). It’s the sort of thing you won’t feel until 2-3 years down the line.
I wonder how the car finance industry copes? One of my mates is an estate agent in London (Brexit supporting!) and he’s feeling it, the market is dead. Whether people are holding off I don’t know, but why take on more debt without knowing what’s going to happen in less than 4 months (which is the crazy situation we are in).
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