Tory voters choosing to not vote rather than vote Lib Dem I suspect. But to turn over a 40.6% majority is a pretty clear message from our friends in Devon.
Yes.
That is a reasonable analysis.
Yesterday, the anti-Cons alliance got 25,260 votes - of which LD 22,540.
Cons slumped to 16,390 - from over 35,000 in 2017 and 2019.
So over 19,000 Cons stayed at home.
Meanwhile, LDs got very few "swing from Cons".
The LDs did hoover up 10,000 from Labour.
In short, don't believe commentators who cite "
swings" that exclude "
swing to not voting".
FYI, T & D isn't an obvious LD seat.
Labour came second in 2019, 2017 and 2015.