Roy Race
Vital Reserves Team
Everything is of course a degree of educated guessing, but if you look at the body of evidence available and I think the mostly likely outcomes based on who is at the bottom currently above them, the squads they have and the clubs abitions is the ones i said.
With Stoke they've only been in the Champ just over a year Rowett under performed but they still were nowhere near involved in the dog fight - it's only been Jones that absolutely mad a dogs dinner of it. Even just a return to the under performing levels of Rowett sees them out of it.
Boro have pretty much the same team as last season that was in the play offs some a good chunk of the season, a decent manager even if he under performs will get them clear of the dog fight.
So while i accept nothing is certain - but if you had to go either way would you guess it more or less likely come the end of the season both Boro and Stoke are 4th bottom or above?
It's pretty much impossible to have an educated guess. That's why I can't see how you can be so certain you don't even know who Stoke's manager will be, they might have to have a fire sale January. They could be the next Sunderland.