Friday AFTER the Election

col8

col8

Vital Football Legend
Please place your predictions for Black Friday here....
Who do you think will be the winners or losers?


Im working Wed and Thu night, the night shift will pass pretty quick but Friday is going to be pretty funny watching the fall out...

Farage fails to get elected
LibDems go from 56 seats to 16
Clegge is UB40
The Tories can do it with the LibDems (just)
Labour lose 20 of their 40 Scotish seats
LibDems lose all 11 seats


Milliband resigns blaming media bias, Clegg resigns blaming anyone who will listen, SNP are rebranded Smug No Policy Party
UKIP have 20 seats and no one to lead them.....
Greens disappear up their own re-cycled bin.

Going to be fun.....
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Tories biggest party but no overall majority
Labour completely wiped out in Scotland
Lib Dem 8 seats
UKIP 15 seats including Farage.
 
I'm pretty close to SKEGGY..... oh errrr.....

Basically the same, but Lib Dems only about 5 seats.

A coalition will be sort between Tories & UKIP.

 
Labour start their grubby dealings with the SNP on Friday, liar Milliband sells out England to get his MR Bean face into 10 Downing St.
 
Are we starting a new thread on Thursday, be interesting to see what's what in each other's constituencies. I reckon here, Boston & Skegness it'll be neck and neck Conservatives & UKIP, this moment in time to close to call.
 
Well I can Confirm that Sarah Wooleston Conservative has been duely re-elected to represent Totnes and all the shitty areas around it.
 
The 3 Hull seats are very strong Labour strong holds - always have been, the East Riding constituences tend to be fairly strong Conservative ones. My own constituency is currently the seat for Tory MP David Davis, former Shadow Home Secretary, who declined an invitation from Cameron to join the coalition Government front bench, preferring to be a back bencher so he could voice his criticism of the Government on policies he did not agree with. He famously joined forces with Hull's Labour MPs over the plans to close BAE plant at Brough, citing it as an economic disaster and demanded the Government step in to help out.
 
I predict 5 years of ineffective rule by the Tories. They will be the biggest and will form a minority government but will be opposed on principle by Labour and the SNP on just about every vote, showing the opposition parties to be spitefull and immature. This may lead to acts of parliament that would suit the smaller parties (and that's why they will pass, support from the fringe will be enough) repealing the fixed term and introducing some sort of PR.

 
col8 - 3/5/2015 17:10

Star what was the outcome of the BAE closures?
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The Brough site is safe for now I think, but a lot of work has gone. My brother worked there for about 20 years and then got laid off. He secured a job in Cheshire doing similar work for 2 years but it meant living in the Chester area 5 days a week and coming home for a day and a half before travelling back to Chester again. Last August he got the offer of a 1 year deal back at Brough with no guarantees of it being extended. When I spoke to him the other week, he was almost certain that there would be no deal for him to be kept on. I wouldn't be surprised if the orders dry up totally in the next year or so, and that is going to destroy that area's economy. Brough basically built its economy on the workforce supplied to BAE, people moved to that village and the nearby villages to take work there. The whole Hull and East Yorkshire region is desperate need of regeneration and investment.

I have discussed this with the wife and now the kids are grown up and left school, it may be that we might have to move away from our families for me to secure a job. The only drawback to that is that our parents are in their 80s and my dad's health is not the best, so if we had to move a long distance it could be a hell of a trek to visit family and friends we grew up with. I know Elaine would not want me to do what my brother did for 2 years and live away from home 5 days a week.

On the plus side, if I got a job in the West Midlands/Birmingham area at least I could start coming to watch the Villa again :) Always look for the positives, that's what my dad says.
 
Weeks of wrangling the parties have set up against each other. Liberals won't form a coalition with anyone whose policies they don't accept. Labour won't form a coalition/vote by policy with The SNP. UKIP and The Liberals are poles apart so they aren't going to form a coalition with the Tories. A new election will solve nothing. Interesting chaotic times ahead.

This could force the first past the post to be re-looked at as this system is finally falling apart. Something the Labour + Conservatives won't want as they will lose alot it seats through it
 
Toss of a coin but probably a deal between Tories and Liberals who will get 15 odd seats... or to run a minority Government leading to a very bitter few years.

Wouldn't shock me to see Labour scrape it with a Liberal deal. Be shocked to my bones if they did deal with SNP... I think Milliband would resign before he did that.

Farage not to be elected, UKIP to get 5 seats.

Greens lost their 1 seat.

Of the three leaders, only the one who forms the Government will survive.
 
The Fear - 4/5/2015 16:54



Of the three leaders, only the one who forms the Government will survive.
Click to expand...

Forced euthanasia?

 
Tory and UKIP coalition - I think Tory will come up short for a majority and UKIP will have just enough seats to prop them up.

 
The highest number of Seats predicted for UKIP in any poll is 3, with most saying 2. LOL. Like they are going to get any sniff of power!!!! :3: :3: :3: :3: :3:
 
We will have to see; I think UKIP have had some good media coverage in this election and they may surprise;

Just a few seats they could win;

Thurrock
Clacton
Thanet South
Rochester and Strood
Boston and Skegness
Wyre Forest
Ladywood and Middleton
Dudley North
Walsall North
Truro and Falmouth
 
That's 10 seats. Even if they won them all, that would give them no influence whatsoever. You do understand how it all works, don't you? Minority parties don't get seats, even if they have reasonable support.

What voting UKIP does is reduce the Tory vote, making a Labour victory more likely.
 
UKIP votes will reduce all the others, not just the Tories. In the last election for instance, the Lib Dems were popular in many parts of Cornwall, yet this time around they could lose out to UKIP gaining popularity.

Here is a full list of where UKIP are polling quite well & many are Labour and Lib Dem seats as well as Tories.

Boston and Skegness
Thurrock
Thanet South
Clacton
Great Grimsby
Great Yarmouth
Dudley North
Rochester and Strood
Camborne and Redruth
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton
Folkestone and Hythe
Thanet North
Waveney
Eastleigh
Rotherham
Heywood and Middleton
Redcar
Walsall North
Eastbourne
Chippenham
Dorset Mid and North Poole
Newton Abbot
Cornwall North
Somerton and Frome
St Austell and Newquay
St Ives
Torbay
Truro and Falmouth
Plymouth Moor View
Rother Valley
Solihull
Stockton South
Bolton West
Morecambe and Lunesdale
Dewsbury
Morley and Outwood
Amber Valley
Sherwood
North Warwickshire
Telford
Southampton, Itchen
Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport
Ashfield
Basildon South and Thurrock East
Blackpool South
Broadland
Cannock Chase
Castle Point
Dudley South
Hartlepool
Harwich and North Essex
Hull East
Hull North
Hull West and Hessle
Louth and Horncastle
Norfolk North
Norfolk South West
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford
Penistone and Stocksbridge
Portsmouth North
Sittingbourne and Sheppey
Wolverhampton South East
Bexhill and Battle
Chichester
Cleethorpes
East Worthing and Shoreham
Forest of Dean
Gosport
Havant
Lewes
North East Cambridgeshire
North West Cambridgeshire
Norfolk North West
Rayleigh and Wickford
Southend West
South Basildon and East Thurrock
South Holland and The Deepings
Wentworth and Dearne
Stoke-on-Trent South
Sheffield Heeley
Mansfield
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney
Norfolk South
Stoke-on-Trent Central
Staffordshire Moorlands
Leicester West
Brigg and Goole
 
UKIP are stealing 3 Tories for every 1 Labour vote. Whilst both are losing, Tories are suffering more.

Again, do you know how the system works? UKIP won't get more than 3 seats, because of or voting system. The shortfall for both Tories and Labour is predicted at 25-30 seats, so they need a party that can provide that many to form a solid coalition.

Add to all this, Farage hates Cameron. It's never going to happen.
 
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