Experimental 361

[Skip155]

Released the season's first effectiveness charts today...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1046319196022493185

 

[Skip155]

Also September team of the month...

https://twitter.com/x/status/1046356901850755072

 

[hulloutpost]

These are the sort of charts that I imagine the Cowleys love.

 

[Chesterimp]

'Only' big John in the team of the month? Something for his critics to contemplate.

 

[exhertsimp]

'Only' big John in the team of the month? Something for his critics to contemplate.

Shackell too

 

[nlondonimp]

interesting formation for that team of the month.

 

[Skip155]

Another stats tweet

https://twitter.com/x/status/1046473520371388416

 

[Luke Imp]

This'll be a good thread to keep updating, Skip.

Is this weeks XG graph for the Cheltenham game out?

 

[Luke Imp]

Found it.

 

[Luke Imp]

https://experimental361.com/2018/09/29/league-2-timelines-25-29-sep-2018/

 

[Skip155]

Found it.

This is reasonably typical of the charts I've glanced at. We tend to win XG and tend to score more than XG.

 

[Chesterimp]

Shackell too

Depends which version you're looking at - Shackell makes left wing-back (!!) for September, Akinde left in a front 3 but leads the line in season to date.

 

[Skip155]

Tranmere v Imps XG. Interesting Matt Green has the highest.



https://experimental361.com/2018/10/04/league-2-timelines-2-oct-2018/

 

[nlondonimp]

god knows what that stat is referring to. would anyone who watched the game actually put stockton above norwood on anything?

 

[Red Wimp]

I've no idea what this is all about other than I can see Tranmere didn't start moving until 40 minutes had gone, but somehow in one minute caught us up. Seems a bit bonkers

 

[NottyImp]

That graph looks like my overdraft.

 

[Skip155]

'...they track the cumulative quality of each team’s shots over the course of a match, measured in expected goals.'

https://experimental361.com/2018/08/20/updated-match-timelines-for-2018-19/

 

[Skip155]

They're quite interesting I think because you can compare the goals scored / conceded with a benchmark and start to form an opinion around the underlying quality of the performance. It doesn't explain why we're better or worse than benchmark but adds some evidence to claims of being lucky / unlucky / lethal / wasteful, etc.

 

[nlondonimp]

stockton 0.4
norwood 0.3
stockton only played in the first half, and by 361s own chart tranmere had zero expected goals for 40minutes of that. i don't remember stockton then being a threat for the last 5minutes before half time. or even having any shot anywhere near the goal.
norwood actually scored - and had a header just wide.

 

[Deleted member 10554]

These charts are utter nonsense.