Conference Promotions 2010-2015: What Experience Did Their Managers Have? | Vital Football

Conference Promotions 2010-2015: What Experience Did Their Managers Have?

Jules

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<b>Conference Promotions 2010-2015: What Experience Did Their Managers Have?</b>
http://www.lincoln.vitalfootball.co.uk/article.asp?a=441702
 
Just to reiterate the main conclusions from the article:

We are looking at the last 12 managers to win promotion from the Conference (2010 to 2015 inclusive).

- All 12 managers gained his experience in Tiers 3, 4, 5 or 6. Only one manager - Martin Allen - had managed above Tier 3, and that was just 4 games at Leicester City. Therefore, they have all been lower division/senior non-league specialists.

- Every manager with the exception of Martin Allen and Richard Money - in other words, 10 out of the 12 - had come up from Tier 6 and below, and every one of those 10 had at least one promotion and/or one championship in non-league football to their name already. In other words, they all had a track record of success in non-league football.

- Allen and Money are the exceptions because they had never managed below Tier 5. To compensate for that, both Allen and Money had won the L2 championship instead.

- All 12 had either won promotion and/or a championship at Tier 6 or below or made the National League play-offs, including Allen and Money. 8 of the 12 had done it more than once.

- Only Darrell Clarke and Gary Mills had not reached a Conference play-off or been promoted to the FL before, but they each had a Tier 6 championship to their name.

- Therefore, none of the last 12 managers to win promotion to the Football League was a rookie - every single one had experience elsewhere and had a good track record.

Past performance is no guarantee of future success, of course - and it doesn't mean that a manager who does not conform to this profile could not be a success - but 12/12 provides quite a compelling argument. If the last 6 years are anything to go by, it certainly looks like our next manager needs to have been successful in non-league football if we are serious about getting promotion.

If we now compare each of the many candidates that has been suggested this week against this profile, we suddenly have a limited short-list and some clear favourites.

It'll be interesting to see how Bob & his friends go about this.
 
I hope Harrogate come up and then Weaver celebrates by becoming Lincoln manager. Would love to carry on with the theme of someone in the right area of England and who cares about the club.
 
azz_88 - 7/4/2016 13:32

I hope Harrogate come up and then Weaver celebrates by becoming Lincoln manager. Would love to carry on with the theme of someone in the right area of England and who cares about the club.

Weaver is an interesting one. It has taken him 7 years to even reach the play-offs with Harrogate (and actually should have been relegated at one point), and that is with significant financial backing from father Irving. We neither have that kind of time, nor that kind of comparative investment. He is in the ball park of the above profile, but not quite. I'm not convinced at this point, there are others out there who fit the profile better. Depends on who applies, of course!
 
Agree with Scotimp on Weaver.
Is there any readily available info on finance to help "weight" the data? eg we know Fleetwood basically bought themselves promotion, same with Mansfield; Bristol and Luton had good budgets. But not sure Newport, York, Wimbledon had any such advantage?...but it's all memory
Interesting stuff
 
stokeimp - 7/4/2016 14:54

Agree with Scotimp on Weaver.
Is there any readily available info on finance to help "weight" the data? eg we know Fleetwood basically bought themselves promotion, same with Mansfield; Bristol and Luton had good budgets. But not sure Newport, York, Wimbledon had any such advantage?...but it's all memory
Interesting stuff
Newport had a lottery winner who has no left.
York used 98% of turnover on players wages to get promoted
Wimbledon not a clue.
 
Yeah, York went for bust in their promotion season and luckily it panned out. There supporters aren't so sure they'll be great, finance wise, back down here.